My final “tax land” of 2012 as I have a looming chapter deadline on the subject of a Scottish tax system.
Where to start? Let’s start with the UK Chancellor’s “Autumn” statement.
George Osborne admitted that the UK had missed its debt reduction targets putting the UK’s AAA credit rating under threat. Osborne also announced that the planned rise on fuel duty is to be axed and the personal allowance of income tax payers is to be boosted. Benefits are to be limited to a 1% rise a year for the next 3 years and economic growth will be lower than predicted until at least 2018.
In response the Institute of Fiscal Studies warned that one million people will find themselves joining the higher 40p income tax rate by 2015. Far higher than the 400,000 figure quoted by Osborne. The IFS also said further austerity measures to increase taxes and cut benefits were unavoidable to fix a £27bn black-hole in the UK economy before the next UK General Election.
Figures also showed that poorest 30% of households will suffer the most under the changes announced. More on this from the Scotsman can be found here.
The AAA rating is of course an issue in the independence referendum. One of the arguments made by those arguing NO is that an independent Scotland, notwithstanding its oil reserves, would lose its AAA credit rating. This issue is now a problem for the NO campaign as the UK, in the event of a YES vote, would presumably be desperate to retain Scotland in a monetary union to protect its credit rating.
The YES campaign also received a further boost when it was confirmed that nearly 17 billion barrels of oil are to be recovered from the North Sea over the next 30 years following a £134bn investment by oil and gas companies. The majority of the new developments will be in Scottish waters while production from gas fields in the southern North Sea begins a dramatic decline. More on this from the Scotsman can be found here.
Now to the tax avoidance debate.
The House of Commons Public Accounts Committee has warned officials from HMRC that firms that devise complicated tax regimes are “running rings” around them. The Committee Chair, Margaret Hodge MP, said that the public would consider such schemes “completely and utterly immoral”. More on this from the Guardian can be found here. My recent blog on this and the lack of political will to reform the UK’s tax system can be found here.
Meanwhile the Chief Secretary to the UK Treasury, Danny Alexander, has warned against naming and shaming large firms who do not pay the correct amount of tax, insisting that he is obliged to defend firms’ “taxpayer confidentiality”. More on this from the Mirror can be found here. This adds to the growing evidence that the UK Government is at best being half-hearted in its attempts to tackle this issue.
Further evidence for this claim can be found when you consider that only 5% of the UK Government’s announced investment into HMRC will be aimed at tackling tax avoidance. The context to this is of course the large budget reduction and cut in staff numbers already made to HMRC. More on this from the Times can be found here.
According to an investigation by the Times, offshore companies are exploiting a tax loophole which allows them to buy up some of the UK’s most expensive homes and avoid paying property stamp duty, inheritance tax and capital gains tax. More on this from the Times can be found here. The Times has done some excellent work on this issue over the last few months.
Figures from HMRC show that the number of people declaring an annual income of more than £1m fell from 16,000 to 6,000 after the previous 50p top rate was brought in. More on this from the Telegraph can be found here. What this statistic purports to show is though open to debate.
Final point on the tax avoidance and tax evasion debate. The claim that I have made on many occasions that tax for some, namely large companies and the wealthy, is becoming a matter of negotiation – almost voluntary in nature – seems now to be generally accepted. That is clearly what Starbucks think.
The Scottish Government has unveiled plans to reform stamp duty land tax in Scotland. The importance of this should not be underestimated. The Scottish Government must show that it has the competence to deal with tax matters. The signs so far are positive. More on this can be found here.
Now to matters slight further afield.
France’s Senate has rejected the Government’s 2013 Budget, which among other measures raised the marginal tax rate on annual income of over €150,000 to 45%, imposed a 75% “solidarity contribution” on income over €1m, and raised capital gains tax rates to match income tax rates. The Budget will though almost certainly be forced through by the National Assembly. More on this from Tax-news can be found here.
The Republic of Ireland Government has revealed its 2013 Budget. It introduces a new annual property tax of 0.18% on properties valued below €1m, payable by owners. More expensive properties will be taxed at €1,800 plus 0.25% of their value over €1m. Initially, and until 2016, owners’ valuations will be accepted. More on this from the Irish Times can be found here.
Finally to the USA. The US Internal Revenue Service has published guidance on calculating the new 3.8% tax on investment income, imposed to pay for President Obama’s universal health insurance plan. More on this from the Journal of Accountancy can be found here.
This has been a very interesting year for all those interested in tax and the wider Scottish tax and fiscal powers debate. I suspect that is not going to change in 2013. Best wishes to you and yours for 2013.